Forex Market: NZD/USD daily forecast

August 14, 2014 9:28 am

During yesterday’s trading session NZD/USD traded within the range of 0.8420-0.8488 and closed at 0.8479, gaining 0.64% on a daily basis.

At 9:23 GMT today NZD/USD was adding 0.46% for the day to trade at 0.8497. The pair touched a daily high at 0.8501 at 8:34 GMT, the pair’s highest since August 5th.

Fundamental view

Initial jobless claims in the US probably rose to 307 000 in the week ended August 9th, from 289 000 a week ago, according to the median estimate by experts.

The indicator measures the number of applications for unemployment benefits that are recorded each week in a report prepared by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the United States. Initial application or (Initial Claim) means a completed document from an unemployed person before the local government, which is considered a claim for compensation or the possibility of compensation. The completion of the initial claim marks the beginning of a period in which the applicant receives unemployment benefits. The survey covers the number of applications registered in the previous week and is an important indicator concerning the health of the US labor market.

The statistical arm of the US Department of Labor will release an official report at 12:30 GMT today. If jobless claims rose less than expected, this will provide support for the US dollar.

Technical view

Screenshot from 2014-08-14 12:28:15

According to Binary Tribune’s daily analysis, the central pivot point for the pair is at 0.8462. In case NZD/USD manages to breach the first resistance level at 0.8505, it will probably continue up to test 0.8530. In case the second key resistance is broken, the pair will probably attempt to advance to 0.8573.

If NZD/USD manages to breach the first key support at 0.8437, it will probably continue to slide and test 0.8394. With this second key support broken, the movement to the downside will probably continue to 0.8369.

In weekly terms, the central pivot point is at 0.8472. The three key resistance levels are as follows: R1 – 0.8521, R2 – 0.8579, R3 – 0.8628. The three key support levels are: S1 – 0.8414, S2 – 0.8365, S3 – 0.8307.

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