Netflix shares fall the most in a month on Wednesday, Stifel downgrades the stock on valuation call

March 8, 2018 8:33 am

Stifel reportedly revised down Netflix Inc (NFLX) from “Buy” to “Hold” due to valuation concerns. On the other hand, the firm revised up its price target on the stock from $283 to $325, with the latter being a 1.20% increase compared to Thursday’s closing price.

Netflix shares closed lower for the first time in the past four trading sessions on Wednesday. It has also been the steepest daily loss since February 8th. The stock went down 1.25% ($4.06) to $321.16, after touching an intraday low at $314.56, or a price level not seen since March 5th ($297.60).

In the week ended on March 4th the shares of the streaming giant added 5.29% to their market value compared to a week ago, which marked a third consecutive period of gains.

However, due to yesterday’s slump, the stock has trimmed its advance to 10.22% so far during the current month, following a 7.80% surge in February. The latter has been a third straight month of gains.

For the entire past year, the shares of the NASDAQ-listed company rose 55.06% following another 8.24% surge in 2016.

“We are attracted to Netflix’s business and competitive position but believe share price may have sprinted ahead of fundamentals in the short-term”, Stifel analyst Scott Devitt wrote in a client note on Tuesday, cited by CNBC.

At the same time, the analyst remained optimistic in regard to Netflix Inc’s performance in a longer term.

“We believe share price outperformance over the next several quarters may be more difficult to achieve given the recent run and increasing expectations. That said, Netflix has built a dominant streaming and content franchise and we continue to like the company’s long-term prospects”, Devitt noted.

According to CNN Money, the 41 analysts, offering 12-month forecasts regarding Netflix Inc’s stock price, have a median target of $281.00, with a high estimate of $330.00 and a low estimate of $90.00. The median estimate is a 12.50% decrease compared to the closing price of $321.16 on March 7th.

The same media also reported that 24 out of 44 surveyed investment analysts had rated Netflix Inc’s stock as “Buy”, while 13 – as “Hold”. On the other hand, 3 analysts had recommended selling the stock.

Daily and Weekly Pivot Levels

With the help of the Camarilla calculation method, today’s levels of importance for the Netflix stock are presented as follows:

R1 – $321.99
R2 – $322.81
R3 (Range Resistance – Sell) – $323.64
R4 (Long Breakout) – $326.12
R5 (Breakout Target 1) – $329.01
R6 (Breakout Target 2) – $330.36

S1 – $320.33
S2 – $319.51
S3 (Range Support – Buy) – $318.68
S4 (Short Breakout) – $316.20
S5 (Breakout Target 1) – $313.31
S6 (Breakout Target 2) – $311.96

By using the traditional method of calculation, the weekly levels of importance for Netflix Inc (NFLX) are presented as follows:

Central Pivot Point – $295.15
R1 – $307.08
R2 – $313.10
R3 – $325.03
R4 – $336.95

S1 – $289.13
S2 – $277.20
S3 – $271.18
S4 – $265.15

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